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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 2:0
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
EU Rejectsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cybercats

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 15 games
47%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Hduo · 13 games
31%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 11 games
82%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 10 games
20%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 10 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Hduo · 9 games
22%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fezor · 9 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Hduo · 8 games
63%

EU Rejects

Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Chessie · 3 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
TANNER · 3 games
0%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
TANNER · 3 games
33%
Marci
Marcioften banned
TANNER · 3 games
33%
Tusk
Tusk
Adzantick · 3 games
0%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Chessie · 3 games
33%
Visage
Visageoften banned
Chessie · 3 games
0%
Chen
Chenoften banned
j4 · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
503 picks · 438 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
475 picks · 698 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
438 picks · 296 bans
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
436 picks · 535 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
376 picks · 601 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
375 picks · 602 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
350 picks · 513 bans
55%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
341 picks · 765 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 15%
Hero pool strength58% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
cybercats 85%EU Rejects 15%
The model gave 85% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats.
Game 2prediction correct
cybercats 85%EU Rejects 15%
The model gave 85% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 85%
Series resultcybercats 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2