Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
KBU.USwin 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
EU Rejectsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KBU.US
No games played over 6 months.
EU Rejects
Bristlebackoften banned
Chessie · 3 games
Hoodwink
TANNER · 3 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
TANNER · 3 games
Marcioften banned
TANNER · 3 games
Tusk
Adzantick · 3 games
Viperoften banned
Chessie · 3 games
Visageoften banned
Chessie · 3 games
Chenoften banned
j4 · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
505 picks · 439 bans
Mars
477 picks · 701 bans
Bane
440 picks · 295 bans
Dragon Knight
437 picks · 536 bans
Storm Spirit
377 picks · 603 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 604 bans
Sand King
353 picks · 518 bans
Keeper of the Light
345 picks · 759 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 17%
Hero pool strength56% KBU.US
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% KBU.US
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
KBU.US 77%EU Rejects 23%
The model gave 77% on KBU.US — the game was taken by KBU.US.
Game 2prediction correct
KBU.US 77%EU Rejects 23%
The model gave 77% on KBU.US — the game was taken by KBU.US.
Model check result
Model favoriteKBU.US · 77%
Series resultKBU.US 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2