Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Atlantisloss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Atlantis
No games played over 6 months.
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 8 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Ksh · 7 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
Tiny
Young PH · 3 games
Juggernautoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
504 picks · 437 bans
Mars
478 picks · 697 bans
Bane
440 picks · 295 bans
Dragon Knight
437 picks · 536 bans
Storm Spirit
380 picks · 605 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 603 bans
Sand King
353 picks · 519 bans
Keeper of the Light
345 picks · 758 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% Atlantis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Atlantis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:22
Atlantis 54%Yangon Galacticos 46%
The model gave 54% on Atlantis — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 26:47.
Game 2prediction missed20:38
Atlantis 54%Yangon Galacticos 46%
The model gave 54% on Atlantis — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 33:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtlantis · 54%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2