Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Atlantisloss 1:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Mist Walkerloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Atlantis
No games played over 6 months.
Mist Walker
Invokeroften banned
Xy · 1 game
Leshracoften banned
Xy · 1 game
Puckoften banned
Xy · 1 game
Templar Assassinoften banned
Xy · 1 game
Venomanceroften banned
Xy · 1 game
Void Spiritoften banned
Xy · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
503 picks · 437 bans
Mars
478 picks · 696 bans
Bane
440 picks · 294 bans
Dragon Knight
437 picks · 534 bans
Storm Spirit
381 picks · 605 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 605 bans
Sand King
354 picks · 519 bans
Keeper of the Light
345 picks · 758 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Atlantis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Mist Walker
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:17
Atlantis 47%Mist Walker 53%
The model gave 53% on Mist Walker — the game was taken by Mist Walker in 23:13.
Game 2prediction correct47:14
Atlantis 47%Mist Walker 53%
The model gave 53% on Mist Walker — the game was taken by Mist Walker in 22:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteMist Walker · 53%
Accuracy by game2 of 2