Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
EU Rejectsloss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PSG Questwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
EU Rejects
Bristlebackoften banned
Chessie · 3 games
Hoodwink
TANNER · 3 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
TANNER · 3 games
Marcioften banned
TANNER · 3 games
Tusk
Adzantick · 3 games
Viperoften banned
Chessie · 3 games
Visageoften banned
Chessie · 3 games
Chenoften banned
j4 · 2 games
PSG Quest
Snapfiresignature
OmaR · 12 games
Earth Spiritsignature
OmaR · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 11 games
Pucksignature
No!ob · 11 games
Shadow Shamansignature
OmaR · 10 games
Hoodwink
OmaR · 8 games
Death Prophetoften banned
No!ob · 7 games
Iosignature
Eixn · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
502 picks · 438 bans
Mars
481 picks · 697 bans
Bane
447 picks · 295 bans
Dragon Knight
438 picks · 535 bans
Storm Spirit
382 picks · 610 bans
Pangolier
377 picks · 607 bans
Sand King
364 picks · 525 bans
Keeper of the Light
344 picks · 766 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)18% vs 46%
Hero pool strength60% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
EU Rejects 31%PSG Quest 69%
The model gave 69% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest.
Game 2prediction correct
EU Rejects 31%PSG Quest 69%
The model gave 69% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest.
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 69%
Series resultPSG Quest 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2