Winline Insight · BO3
result vs prediction
ChillOutloss 0:2series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
sQreen's Squadwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ChillOut
Phantom Lanceroften banned
paradise' · 3 games
Undying
lilskrip · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
lilskrip · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
egxrdemxn · 1 game
Dawnbreaker
lilskrip · 1 game
Drow Rangeroften banned
paradise' · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
hina · 1 game
Marcioften banned
lilskrip · 1 game
sQreen's Squad
Beastmasteroften banned
Actor · 2 games
Clockwerk
sQreen · 2 games
Marsoften banned
Wuiter · 2 games
Ogre Magi
sQreen · 2 games
Pangolieroften banned
Copy · 2 games
Pugnaoften banned
sQreen · 2 games
Snapfire
Copy · 2 games
Tusk
sQreen · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
503 picks · 440 bans
Mars
481 picks · 699 bans
Bane
449 picks · 296 bans
Dragon Knight
438 picks · 535 bans
Storm Spirit
381 picks · 610 bans
Pangolier
377 picks · 608 bans
Sand King
366 picks · 527 bans
Keeper of the Light
344 picks · 767 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)20% vs 42%
Hero pool strength57% sQreen's Squad
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% sQreen's Squad
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:40
ChillOut 36%sQreen's Squad 64%
The model gave 64% on sQreen's Squad — the game was taken by sQreen's Squad in 30:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealerparadise'
Pudgev1olent-
Storm Spiritkeintseru
VisageActor
Enigmaegxrdemxn
Pangoliertoshiyb
Jakirolilskrip
ZeussQreen
Game 2prediction correct27:45
ChillOut 38%sQreen's Squad 62%
The model gave 62% on sQreen's Squad — the game was taken by sQreen's Squad in 32:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaverparadise'
DawnbreakerActor
Tinykeintseru
Chaos Knightv1olent-
Underlordegxrdemxn
Ember Spirittoshiyb
Iolilskrip
ClockwerksQreen
Model check result
Model favoritesQreen's Squad · 75%
Series resultsQreen's Squad 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2