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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTwin 2:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
KEKWaitloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 10 games
40%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
jesv · 9 games
33%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
44%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
25%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 7 games
57%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%

KEKWait

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
Infernal · 2 games
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Infernal · 2 games
0%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Infernal · 2 games
50%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Infernal · 1 game
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Infernal · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
506 picks · 437 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
478 picks · 702 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
452 picks · 296 bans
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
438 picks · 531 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
383 picks · 613 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
375 picks · 605 bans
51%
Sand King
Sand King
370 picks · 531 bans
55%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
346 picks · 761 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 30%
Hero pool strength53% YNT
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:16
YNT 66%KEKWait 34%
The model gave 66% on YNT — the game was taken by KEKWait in 29:32.
Game 2prediction missed26:7
YNT 66%KEKWait 34%
The model gave 66% on YNT — the game was taken by KEKWait in 16:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 66%
Series resultYNT 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2