Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Mind Gameswin 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PARI PARNIloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
PARI PARNI
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
506 picks · 438 bans
Mars
488 picks · 690 bans
Bane
452 picks · 289 bans
Dragon Knight
440 picks · 531 bans
Storm Spirit
383 picks · 619 bans
Sand King
379 picks · 541 bans
Pangolier
370 picks · 613 bans
Grimstroke
351 picks · 316 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 29%
Hero pool strength50% Mind Games
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Mind Games
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:19
Mind Games 69%PARI PARNI 31%
The model gave 69% on Mind Games — the game was taken by PARI PARNI in 36:04.
Game 2prediction missed13:26
Mind Games 69%PARI PARNI 31%
The model gave 69% on Mind Games — the game was taken by PARI PARNI in 27:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteMind Games · 69%
Series resultMind Games 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2