Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs predictionRFRed flowerloss 0:2
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LBZSwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Red flower
Grimstroke
Yyh_ · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Killa · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Killa · 1 game
LBZS
Death Prophetoften banned
Shanks · 13 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Shanks · 8 games
Tusk
CatYou · 8 games
Leshracoften banned
Shanks · 6 games
Mirana
CatYou · 6 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
Molasses · 6 games
Razoroften banned
Shanks · 6 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Molasses · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
511 picks · 447 bans
Mars
484 picks · 701 bans
Bane
451 picks · 290 bans
Dragon Knight
442 picks · 535 bans
Storm Spirit
389 picks · 627 bans
Sand King
388 picks · 542 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 617 bans
Grimstroke
356 picks · 316 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 36%
Hero pool strength51% LBZS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Red flower
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Red flower 56%LBZS 44%
The model gave 56% on Red flower — the game was taken by LBZS.
Game 2prediction missed
Red flower 56%LBZS 44%
The model gave 56% on Red flower — the game was taken by LBZS.
Model check result
Model favoriteRed flower · 56%
Series resultLBZS 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2