Winline Insight · BO3
result vs prediction
ChillOutloss 0:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
KBU.USwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ChillOut
Marcioften banned
lilskrip · 1 game
Phantom Lanceroften banned
paradise' · 1 game
Snapfire
lilskrip · 1 game
Undyingoften banned
lilskrip · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
paradise' · 1 game
Wraith Kingoften banned
paradise' · 1 game
KBU.US
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
507 picks · 451 bans
Mars
489 picks · 698 bans
Bane
453 picks · 291 bans
Dragon Knight
441 picks · 535 bans
Sand King
393 picks · 546 bans
Storm Spirit
390 picks · 633 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 620 bans
Keeper of the Light
358 picks · 750 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 47%
Hero pool strength57% KBU.US
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% KBU.US
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:36
ChillOut 35%KBU.US 65%
The model gave 65% on KBU.US — the game was taken by KBU.US in 32:35.
Game 2prediction correct19:38
ChillOut 35%KBU.US 65%
The model gave 65% on KBU.US — the game was taken by KBU.US in 31:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteKBU.US · 65%
Series resultKBU.US 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2