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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTloss 0:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
cybercatswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 10 games
40%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
jesv · 9 games
33%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
44%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
25%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 7 games
57%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%

cybercats

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Hduo · 13 games
31%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 12 games
50%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 9 games
22%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 9 games
89%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 9 games
56%
Bane
Bane
Hduo · 8 games
25%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 7 games
71%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fezor · 7 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
508 picks · 454 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
494 picks · 692 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
457 picks · 289 bans
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
438 picks · 535 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
398 picks · 550 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
395 picks · 635 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
374 picks · 625 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
359 picks · 320 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 52%
Hero pool strength53% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total52% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:25
YNT 48%cybercats 52%
The model gave 52% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 36:58.
Game 2prediction correct5:19
YNT 48%cybercats 52%
The model gave 52% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 19:08.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 52%
Series resultcybercats 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2