Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Atlantisloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Neon Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Atlantis
No games played over 6 months.
Neon Esports
Mirana
NARMAN · 12 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Enryu · 12 games
Lionsignature
NARMAN · 11 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Karma丶 · 11 games
Weaveroften banned
Jing · 11 games
Beastmastersignature
Enryu · 10 games
Kunkkasignature
MamangDaya · 8 games
Queen of Painsignature
MamangDaya · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
509 picks · 451 bans
Mars
493 picks · 690 bans
Bane
458 picks · 289 bans
Dragon Knight
437 picks · 536 bans
Sand King
399 picks · 551 bans
Storm Spirit
396 picks · 635 bans
Pangolier
372 picks · 624 bans
Grimstroke
360 picks · 318 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 24%
Hero pool strength54% Neon Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% Atlantis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Atlantis 52%Neon Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Atlantis — the game was taken by Neon Esports.
Game 2prediction missed
Atlantis 52%Neon Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Atlantis — the game was taken by Neon Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtlantis · 52%
Series resultNeon Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2