Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Neon Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 7 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Ksh · 6 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
Juggernautoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
Neon Esports
Tidehunteroften banned
Enryu · 12 games
Lionsignature
NARMAN · 11 games
Mirana
NARMAN · 11 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Karma丶 · 11 games
Weaveroften banned
NARMAN · 11 games
Beastmastersignature
Enryu · 10 games
Kunkkasignature
MamangDaya · 8 games
Queen of Painsignature
MamangDaya · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
504 picks · 454 bans
Mars
496 picks · 693 bans
Bane
463 picks · 288 bans
Dragon Knight
434 picks · 533 bans
Sand King
403 picks · 553 bans
Storm Spirit
401 picks · 638 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 626 bans
Grimstroke
360 picks · 320 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 21%
Hero pool strength56% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total57% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:30
Yangon Galacticos 44%Neon Esports 56%
The model gave 56% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 36:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember SpiritYoung PH
VisageEnryu
SlarkKsh
WindrangerChuaN
59% · 44 games
Treant ProtectorSe
Game 2prediction correct21:41
Yangon Galacticos 46%Neon Esports 54%
The model gave 54% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 36:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
BloodseekerKsh
Night StalkerEnryu
PuckYoung PH
MiranaChuaN
38% · 95 games
SnapfireSe
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 57%
Series resultNeon Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2