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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTwin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
EU Rejectsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 10 games
40%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
jesv · 9 games
33%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
44%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
25%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 7 games
57%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%

EU Rejects

Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
TANNER · 3 games
33%
Visage
Visageoften banned
Chessie · 3 games
0%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Chessie · 2 games
50%
Chen
Chenoften banned
j4 · 2 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
TANNER · 2 games
0%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Shad · 2 games
0%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Shad · 2 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
5up · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
507 picks · 454 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
493 picks · 701 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
466 picks · 288 bans
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
437 picks · 532 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
409 picks · 559 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
402 picks · 645 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
379 picks · 617 bans
52%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
364 picks · 314 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 25%
Hero pool strength54% YNT
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
YNT 67%EU Rejects 33%
The model gave 67% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT.
Game 2prediction correct
YNT 67%EU Rejects 33%
The model gave 67% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 67%
Series resultYNT 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2