Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
KBU.USloss 1:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
cybercatswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KBU.US
No games played over 6 months.
cybercats
Grimstroke
Hduo · 13 games
Hoodwink
Fezor · 10 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 9 games
Bane
Hduo · 8 games
Sand Kingsignature
USHUSHUSH · 8 games
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 8 games
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 6 games
Doomsignature
Fezor · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
503 picks · 449 bans
Mars
489 picks · 695 bans
Bane
464 picks · 287 bans
Dragon Knight
437 picks · 528 bans
Sand King
408 picks · 559 bans
Storm Spirit
402 picks · 645 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 616 bans
Grimstroke
361 picks · 310 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% KBU.US
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:30
KBU.US 42%cybercats 58%
The model gave 58% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 30:51.
Game 2prediction correct13:35
KBU.US 42%cybercats 58%
The model gave 58% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 33:02.
Game 3prediction correct21:45
KBU.US 42%cybercats 58%
The model gave 58% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 24:48.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 58%
Series resultcybercats 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3