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Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 0:2
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gorillawin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 17 games
53%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 16 games
31%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Tino- · 14 games
64%
Bane
Bane
RR · 13 games
38%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
RR · 12 games
33%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Shanks · 11 games
73%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
RR · 10 games
40%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
RR · 10 games
50%

Gorilla

Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Fonte · 2 games
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
小郭嘉 · 2 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Molasses · 2 games
0%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Night · 2 games
50%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Fonte · 2 games
0%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Molasses · 2 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Night · 2 games
0%
Bane
Bane
小郭嘉 · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
501 picks · 448 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
489 picks · 695 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
464 picks · 287 bans
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
436 picks · 528 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
408 picks · 559 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
402 picks · 645 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
375 picks · 615 bans
52%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
361 picks · 310 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 30%
Hero pool strength51% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Execration 72%Gorilla 28%
The model gave 72% on Execration — the game was taken by Gorilla.
Game 2prediction missed
Execration 72%Gorilla 28%
The model gave 72% on Execration — the game was taken by Gorilla.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 72%
Series resultGorilla 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2