Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gorillaloss 0:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
RFRed flowerwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gorilla
Alchemistoften banned
Fonte · 2 games
Clockwerk
小郭嘉 · 2 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Molasses · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Night · 2 games
Medusaoften banned
Fonte · 2 games
Viperoften banned
Molasses · 2 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Night · 2 games
Bane
小郭嘉 · 1 game
Red flower
Grimstroke
Yyh_ · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Killa · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Killa · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
500 picks · 446 bans
Mars
488 picks · 693 bans
Bane
463 picks · 286 bans
Dragon Knight
438 picks · 525 bans
Sand King
409 picks · 560 bans
Storm Spirit
402 picks · 646 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 614 bans
Grimstroke
363 picks · 311 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 33%
Hero pool strength56% Gorilla
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Red flower
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Gorilla 46%Red flower 54%
The model gave 54% on Red flower — the game was taken by Red flower.
Game 2prediction correct
Gorilla 46%Red flower 54%
The model gave 54% on Red flower — the game was taken by Red flower.
Model check result
Model favoriteRed flower · 54%
Series resultRed flower 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2