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Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gorillawin 2:0
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Neon Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gorilla

Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Fonte · 2 games
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
小郭嘉 · 2 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Molasses · 2 games
0%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Night · 2 games
50%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Fonte · 2 games
0%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Molasses · 2 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Night · 2 games
0%
Bane
Bane
小郭嘉 · 1 game
0%

Neon Esports

Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Enryu · 12 games
58%
Lion
Lionsignature
NARMAN · 11 games
64%
Mirana
Mirana
NARMAN · 11 games
55%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Karma丶 · 11 games
45%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Jing · 11 games
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Enryu · 10 games
60%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
MamangDaya · 8 games
63%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
MamangDaya · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
501 picks · 445 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
488 picks · 689 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
461 picks · 284 bans
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
438 picks · 522 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
410 picks · 563 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
400 picks · 645 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
373 picks · 609 bans
52%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
359 picks · 312 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 18%
Hero pool strength55% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Gorilla 24%Neon Esports 76%
The model gave 76% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Gorilla.
Game 2prediction missed
Gorilla 24%Neon Esports 76%
The model gave 76% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Gorilla.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 76%
Series resultGorilla 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2