Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs predictionRFRed flowerloss 1:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Neon Esportsloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Red flower
Grimstroke
Yyh_ · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Killa · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Killa · 1 game
Neon Esports
Mirana
NARMAN · 12 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Enryu · 12 games
Lionsignature
NARMAN · 11 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Karma丶 · 11 games
Weaveroften banned
Jing · 11 games
Beastmastersignature
Enryu · 10 games
Kunkkaoften banned
MamangDaya · 9 games
Queen of Painsignature
MamangDaya · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
496 picks · 444 bans
Mars
488 picks · 684 bans
Bane
463 picks · 283 bans
Dragon Knight
437 picks · 517 bans
Sand King
413 picks · 565 bans
Storm Spirit
400 picks · 647 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 607 bans
Grimstroke
355 picks · 309 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 18%
Hero pool strength61% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Red flower
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:29
Red flower 63%Neon Esports 37%
The model gave 63% on Red flower — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 32:47.
Game 2prediction correct29:20
Red flower 63%Neon Esports 37%
The model gave 63% on Red flower — the game was taken by Red flower in 32:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteRed flower · 63%
Accuracy by game1 of 2