BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rostik Teamwin 2:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
avice Teamloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rostik Team
Ancient Apparition
yurapivo · 3 games
Winter Wyvern
Vlad · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
Enigmaoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
rostislav_999 · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
egxrdemxn · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
egxrdemxn · 1 game
Disruptor
Vlad · 1 game
avice Team
Techies
rostikfacekid · 4 games
Broodmother
Koma` · 2 games
Dark Willow
ddeni · 2 games
Grimstroke
rostikfacekid · 2 games
Hoodwink
ddeni · 2 games
Juggernaut
Koma` · 2 games
Queen of Painoften banned
avice · 2 games
Ringmaster
rostikfacekid · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
500 picks · 300 bans
Dark Willow
389 picks · 168 bans
Mirana
373 picks · 169 bans
Ember Spirit
327 picks · 492 bans
Centaur Warrunner
310 picks · 311 bans
Winter Wyvern
306 picks · 284 bans
Earth Spirit
290 picks · 492 bans
Undying
275 picks · 359 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Rostik Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed44:50
Rostik Team 57%avice Team 43%
The model gave 57% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by avice Team in 1:13:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AlchemistTA2000
Dragon KnightKoma`
Earth Spiritrostislav_999
Centaur Warrunnerblindzone
Night Stalkeregxrdemxn
Ember Spiritavice
Windrangeryurapivo
Hoodwinkrostikfacekid
DazzleVlad
Dark Willowddeni
Game 2prediction correct28:14
Rostik Team 59%avice Team 41%
The model gave 59% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 31:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaTA2000
KezKoma`
Earthshakerrostislav_999
Void Spiritavice
Largoegxrdemxn
Legion Commanderblindzone
Shadow Shamanyurapivo
Rubickrostikfacekid
UndyingVlad
Baneddeni
Game 3prediction correct0:0
Rostik Team 58%avice Team 42%
The model gave 58% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 2:16:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MagnusTA2000
Pudgeblindzone
Tinyrostislav_999
Weaverrostikfacekid
Lycanegxrdemxn
Winter Wyvernddeni
OracleVlad
BroodmotherKoma`
Snapfireyurapivo
Storm Spiritavice
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 64%
Series resultRostik Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3