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BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Daxak Teamwin 2:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Rostik Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Daxak Team

Witch Doctor
Witch Doctorsignature
r4dom1r · 6 games
83%
Morphling
Morphling
eccobladee2k · 5 games
80%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Unique · 4 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Groom · 4 games
75%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Groom · 4 games
100%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Groom · 3 games
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Daxak · 3 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Unique · 3 games
100%

Rostik Team

Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
yurapivo · 3 games
67%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
Vlad · 3 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
egxrdemxn · 2 games
50%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
100%
Magnus
Magnus
TA2000 · 2 games
100%
Snapfire
Snapfire
yurapivo · 2 games
100%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
rostislav_999 · 2 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
rostislav_999 · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
500 picks · 300 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
397 picks · 169 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
376 picks · 170 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
327 picks · 494 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
313 picks · 310 bans
54%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
311 picks · 283 bans
59%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
291 picks · 493 bans
52%
Undying
Undying
278 picks · 358 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)76% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Daxak Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:43
Daxak Team 51%Rostik Team 49%
The model gave 51% on Daxak Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 31:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Io
Ioeccobladee2k
61% · 44 games39% · 15 games
Outworld DestroyerTA2000
Outworld Destroyer
Windranger
Windrangerya sulen
53% · 237 games47% · 175 games
Enchantressegxrdemxn
Enchantress
Bristleback
BristlebackDaxak
50% · 128 games51% · 545 games
HoodwinkVlad
Hoodwink
Venomancer
VenomancerWeeeNy
52% · 84 games40% · 68 games
Spirit Breakeryurapivo
Spirit Breaker
Rubick
RubickGroom
56% · 310 games
Game 2prediction correct52:37
Daxak Team 52%Rostik Team 48%
The model gave 52% on Daxak Team — the game was taken by Daxak Team in 1:04:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
Sveneccobladee2k
56% · 47 games41% · 23 games
WeaverTA2000
Weaver
Death Prophet
Death ProphetDaxak
44% · 22 games51% · 94 games
Timbersawegxrdemxn
Timbersaw
Lina
Linaya sulen
49% · 39 games51% · 94 games
DisruptorVlad
Disruptor
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeGroom
55% · 56 games46% · 68 games
Baneyurapivo
Bane
Pugna
PugnaWeeeNy
51% · 115 games
Game 3prediction correct37:12
Daxak Team 52%Rostik Team 48%
The model gave 52% on Daxak Team — the game was taken by Daxak Team in 33:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
Necrophoseccobladee2k
60% · 50 games53% · 75 games
LeshracTA2000
Leshrac
Omniknight
OmniknightDaxak
48% · 24 games46% · 180 games
Underlordegxrdemxn
Underlord
Slark
Slarkya sulen
48% · 44 games52% · 191 game
RingmasterVlad
Ringmaster
Silencer
SilencerWeeeNy
42% · 44 games65% · 25 games
Ancient Apparitionyurapivo
Ancient Apparition
Tusk
TuskGroom
46% · 309 games
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 51%
Series resultDaxak Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 3