Winline Insight · BO3
result vs prediction
HFloss 0:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:2
sQreen's Squadwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HF
Sand Kingsignature
Cloud · 14 games
Miranasignature
ArrOw · 13 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 12 games
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 12 games
Bane
Malady · 8 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Kaori · 8 games
Iosignature
Kaori · 7 games
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 7 games
sQreen's Squad
Tusk
sQreen · 2 games
Axe
Wuiter · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Actor · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
Wuiter · 1 game
Clockwerk
sQreen · 1 game
Doomoften banned
sQreen · 1 game
Lycanoften banned
Actor · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Wuiter · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
491 picks · 447 bans
Mars
489 picks · 685 bans
Bane
461 picks · 284 bans
Dragon Knight
435 picks · 513 bans
Sand King
415 picks · 569 bans
Storm Spirit
398 picks · 651 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 603 bans
Grimstroke
352 picks · 309 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 43%
Hero pool strength62% HF
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% HF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
HF 68%sQreen's Squad 32%
The model gave 68% on HF — the game was taken by sQreen's Squad.
Game 2prediction missed
HF 68%sQreen's Squad 32%
The model gave 68% on HF — the game was taken by sQreen's Squad.
Model check result
Model favoriteHF · 68%
Series resultsQreen's Squad 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2