Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs predictionФФЕРЗИwin 2:0
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SPSURIM PRASADloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ФЕРЗИ
Dawnbreaker
baraban · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
baraban · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
Skywrath Mage
KingR · 1 game
Zeus
KingR · 1 game
SURIM PRASAD
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
490 picks · 447 bans
Mars
489 picks · 683 bans
Bane
461 picks · 284 bans
Dragon Knight
434 picks · 512 bans
Sand King
415 picks · 569 bans
Storm Spirit
398 picks · 651 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 602 bans
Grimstroke
352 picks · 309 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% SURIM PRASAD
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% SURIM PRASAD
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:35
ФЕРЗИ 44%SURIM PRASAD 56%
The model gave 56% on SURIM PRASAD — the game was taken by ФЕРЗИ in 39:14.
Game 2prediction missed35:18
ФЕРЗИ 44%SURIM PRASAD 56%
The model gave 56% on SURIM PRASAD — the game was taken by ФЕРЗИ in 27:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteSURIM PRASAD · 56%
Series resultФЕРЗИ 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2