Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Made in Philippineswin 2:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Mist Walkerloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Made in Philippines
Pangolieroften banned
Rupido · 3 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Ken · 3 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Rupido · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Rupido · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
JG · 2 games
Marsoften banned
Rupido · 2 games
Puckoften banned
JG · 2 games
Pugnaoften banned
Teehee · 2 games
Mist Walker
Invokeroften banned
Xy · 1 game
Templar Assassinoften banned
Xy · 1 game
Void Spiritoften banned
Xy · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
491 picks · 449 bans
Mars
487 picks · 683 bans
Bane
463 picks · 283 bans
Dragon Knight
432 picks · 512 bans
Sand King
416 picks · 570 bans
Storm Spirit
399 picks · 653 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 601 bans
Grimstroke
354 picks · 309 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% Mist Walker
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Mist Walker
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:14
Made in Philippines 46%Mist Walker 54%
The model gave 54% on Mist Walker — the game was taken by Made in Philippines in 21:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinKen
VenomancerXy
MarsRupido
TinyJG
BaneTeehee
Game 2prediction missed
Made in Philippines 46%Mist Walker 54%
The model gave 54% on Mist Walker — the game was taken by Made in Philippines.
Model check result
Model favoriteMist Walker · 54%
Series resultMade in Philippines 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2