Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Baby Build Houseloss 0:2series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Mist Walkerwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Baby Build House
No games played over 6 months.
Mist Walker
Invokeroften banned
Xy · 1 game
Templar Assassinoften banned
Xy · 1 game
Void Spiritoften banned
Xy · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
490 picks · 448 bans
Mars
486 picks · 681 bans
Bane
460 picks · 284 bans
Dragon Knight
431 picks · 511 bans
Sand King
416 picks · 570 bans
Storm Spirit
400 picks · 653 bans
Pangolier
377 picks · 599 bans
Grimstroke
354 picks · 309 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Mist Walker
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Baby Build House
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Baby Build House 64%Mist Walker 36%
The model gave 64% on Baby Build House — the game was taken by Mist Walker.
Game 2prediction missed
Baby Build House 64%Mist Walker 36%
The model gave 64% on Baby Build House — the game was taken by Mist Walker.
Model check result
Model favoriteBaby Build House · 64%
Series resultMist Walker 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2