Winline Insight · BO3
result vs prediction
KBU.USloss 1:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:2
sQreen's Squadwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KBU.US
No games played over 6 months.
sQreen's Squad
Tusk
sQreen · 2 games
Axe
Wuiter · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
Wuiter · 1 game
Doomoften banned
sQreen · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Wuiter · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Copy · 1 game
Snapfire
Copy · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
484 picks · 453 bans
Mars
481 picks · 674 bans
Bane
458 picks · 281 bans
Dragon Knight
423 picks · 502 bans
Sand King
415 picks · 570 bans
Storm Spirit
401 picks · 655 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 585 bans
Grimstroke
353 picks · 304 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 38%
Hero pool strength56% KBU.US
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% KBU.US
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:23
KBU.US 57%sQreen's Squad 43%
The model gave 57% on KBU.US — the game was taken by sQreen's Squad in 34:04.
Game 2prediction missed18:43
KBU.US 57%sQreen's Squad 43%
The model gave 57% on KBU.US — the game was taken by sQreen's Squad in 36:25.
Game 3prediction missed27:24
KBU.US 57%sQreen's Squad 43%
The model gave 57% on KBU.US — the game was taken by sQreen's Squad in 50:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteKBU.US · 57%
Series resultsQreen's Squad 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3