Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Banesignature
tOfu · 24 games
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 21 game
Iosignature
Seleri · 19 games
Marssignature
Ace · 19 games
Weaversignature
tOfu · 19 games
Tidehuntersignature
Ace · 18 games
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 17 games
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 16 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
460 picks · 630 bans
Tiny
445 picks · 432 bans
Bane
441 picks · 268 bans
Sand King
409 picks · 559 bans
Storm Spirit
396 picks · 628 bans
Dragon Knight
388 picks · 470 bans
Pangolier
354 picks · 548 bans
Keeper of the Light
329 picks · 647 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 56%
Hero pool strength59% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total63% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:38
Gaimin Gladiators 63%Entity 37%
The model gave 63% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Entity in 41:07.
Game 2prediction missed17:39
Gaimin Gladiators 63%Entity 37%
The model gave 63% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Entity in 41:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 63%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2