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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Brameloss 1:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
One Movewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Viper
Viperoften banned
SkyLark · 16 games
56%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
SsaSpartan · 15 games
73%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakersignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 15 games
73%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Nefrit · 14 games
43%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Nefrit · 14 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
W1sh- · 13 games
46%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
W1sh- · 13 games
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 12 games
33%

One Move

Bane
Banesignature
Panto · 33 games
70%
Mirana
Miranasignature
sayuw · 27 games
81%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 26 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
mellojul · 25 games
64%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
mellojul · 25 games
72%
Mars
Marssignature
AfterLife · 20 games
85%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Smiling Knight · 18 games
78%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
sayuw · 16 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
466 picks · 652 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
455 picks · 474 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
451 picks · 276 bans
57%
Sand King
Sand King
423 picks · 579 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
389 picks · 630 bans
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
385 picks · 458 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
357 picks · 565 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 595 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 57%
Hero pool strength60% One Move
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:4
Brame 56%One Move 44%
The model gave 56% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 26:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeFocus
48% · 268 games50% · 174 games
MedusaSmiling Knight
Medusa
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightSkyLark
48% · 188 games51% · 201 game
Pangoliermellojul
Pangolier
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritThuG
51% · 414 games44% · 246 games
Dragon KnightAfterLife
Dragon Knight
Enigma
EnigmadEsire
58% · 42 games49% · 156 games
Keeper of the Lightsayuw
Keeper of the Light
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSsaSpartan
54% · 185 games50% · 320 games
BanePanto
Bane
Game 2prediction missed8:39
Brame 56%One Move 44%
The model gave 56% on Brame — the game was taken by One Move in 45:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaFocus
56% · 132 games56% · 117 games
Monkey KingSmiling Knight
Monkey King
Underlord
UnderlordSkyLark
55% · 57 games48% · 79 games
Keeper of the Lightmellojul
Keeper of the Light
Leshrac
LeshracThuG
48% · 68 games45% · 67 games
Chaos KnightAfterLife
Chaos Knight
Enigma
EnigmadEsire
60% · 36 games38% · 25 games
ChenPanto
Chen
Jakiro
JakiroSsaSpartan
49% · 51 game36% · 56 games
Skywrath Magesayuw
Skywrath Mage
Game 3prediction missed9:35
Brame 50%One Move 50%
The model gave 50% on Brame — the game was taken by One Move in 27:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaFocus
40% · 141 game50% · 99 games
BloodseekerSmiling Knight
Bloodseeker
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainThuG
51% · 110 games53% · 73 games
Chaos KnightAfterLife
Chaos Knight
Underlord
UnderlordSkyLark
47% · 60 games56% · 143 games
Sand Kingmellojul
Sand King
Monkey King
Monkey KingdEsire
50% · 205 games58% · 102 games
PhoenixPanto
Phoenix
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSsaSpartan
38% · 83 games56% · 182 games
Miranasayuw
Mirana
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 58%
Series resultOne Move 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3