Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bramewin 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
KBU.USloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Brame
Spirit Breakersignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 16 games
Vipersignature
SkyLark · 16 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Nefrit · 14 games
Shadow Shamansignature
SsaSpartan · 14 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Nefrit · 14 games
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 12 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
ThuG · 12 games
Invokeroften banned
W1sh- · 12 games
KBU.US
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
480 picks · 666 bans
Tiny
471 picks · 501 bans
Bane
456 picks · 278 bans
Sand King
431 picks · 578 bans
Dragon Knight
382 picks · 448 bans
Storm Spirit
377 picks · 643 bans
Pangolier
362 picks · 565 bans
Death Prophet
348 picks · 822 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:28
Brame 70%KBU.US 30%
The model gave 70% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 45:32.
Game 2prediction correct42:51
Brame 70%KBU.US 30%
The model gave 70% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 1:08:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 70%
Series resultBrame 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2