Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
sQreen's Squadloss 0:1series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:1
X3win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
sQreen's Squad
Tusk
sQreen · 2 games
Axe
Wuiter · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
Wuiter · 1 game
Doomoften banned
sQreen · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Wuiter · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Copy · 1 game
Snapfire
Copy · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 1 game
X3
Bane
Kidaro · 24 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mastery · 11 games
Hoodwink
velheor · 10 games
Pugnaoften banned
antoha · 10 games
Invokersignature
NattyNarwhal · 8 games
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 8 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
DarkLord^ · 8 games
Puckoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
467 picks · 648 bans
Tiny
454 picks · 484 bans
Bane
448 picks · 275 bans
Sand King
422 picks · 573 bans
Dragon Knight
374 picks · 435 bans
Storm Spirit
372 picks · 623 bans
Pangolier
356 picks · 552 bans
Death Prophet
339 picks · 802 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 59%
Hero pool strength55% X3
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% X3
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteX3 · 71%
Series resultX3 0:1
Series predictioncorrect