Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
sQreen's Squadwin 1:0series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 1:0
MMaybeBabyFansloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
sQreen's Squad
Tusk
sQreen · 2 games
Axe
Wuiter · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
Wuiter · 1 game
Doomoften banned
sQreen · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Wuiter · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Copy · 1 game
Snapfire
Copy · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 1 game
MaybeBabyFans
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
467 picks · 649 bans
Tiny
454 picks · 485 bans
Bane
448 picks · 275 bans
Sand King
424 picks · 574 bans
Dragon Knight
374 picks · 435 bans
Storm Spirit
372 picks · 621 bans
Pangolier
357 picks · 551 bans
Death Prophet
338 picks · 803 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% MaybeBabyFans
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% MaybeBabyFans
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteMaybeBabyFans · 65%
Series resultsQreen's Squad 1:0
Series predictionmissed