Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:0
HFloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 24 games
Death Prophetoften banned
VANSKOR · 20 games
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 20 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Heaven · 18 games
Banesignature
VANSKOR · 17 games
Rubick
Heaven · 17 games
Dark Willow
Heaven · 16 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Kiritych · 16 games
HF
Sand Kingsignature
Cloud · 14 games
Miranasignature
ArrOw · 13 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 12 games
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 11 games
Bane
Malady · 8 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Kaori · 8 games
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 7 games
Hoodwinksignature
ArrOw · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
467 picks · 649 bans
Tiny
454 picks · 485 bans
Bane
448 picks · 275 bans
Sand King
424 picks · 574 bans
Dragon Knight
374 picks · 435 bans
Storm Spirit
372 picks · 621 bans
Pangolier
357 picks · 551 bans
Death Prophet
338 picks · 803 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% HF
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 55%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect