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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
DPC 2ristsloss 0:1
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

DPC 2rists

No games played over 6 months.

Nemiga Gaming

Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 24 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
VANSKOR · 20 games
55%
Mars
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 20 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Heaven · 18 games
56%
Bane
Banesignature
VANSKOR · 17 games
65%
Rubick
Rubick
Heaven · 17 games
59%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Heaven · 16 games
44%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Kiritych · 16 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
468 picks · 650 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
457 picks · 485 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
449 picks · 276 bans
57%
Sand King
Sand King
424 picks · 574 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
374 picks · 435 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
372 picks · 621 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
357 picks · 552 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
340 picks · 804 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 26%
Hero pool strength52% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 64%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect