Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
No Sorrywin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
11Monkeyzloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Sorry
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 32 games
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 27 games
Tinyoften banned
layme · 25 games
Hoodwink
y0nd · 24 games
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 23 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 21 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Worick · 20 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 18 games
11Monkeyz
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
468 picks · 652 bans
Tiny
456 picks · 486 bans
Bane
450 picks · 275 bans
Sand King
425 picks · 574 bans
Dragon Knight
374 picks · 435 bans
Storm Spirit
371 picks · 621 bans
Pangolier
356 picks · 552 bans
Death Prophet
341 picks · 804 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% No Sorry
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 55%
Series resultNo Sorry 2:0
Series predictioncorrect