BTS Pro Series Season 11. ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PPatriotsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy SEA
No games played over 6 months.
Patriots
Razoroften banned
dalul · 7 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Jikroy · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
MamangDaya · 5 games
Kunkkaoften banned
MamangDaya · 5 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Lym- · 4 games
Hoodwink
Lym- · 3 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
dalul · 3 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Jikroy · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
468 picks · 652 bans
Tiny
456 picks · 486 bans
Bane
450 picks · 275 bans
Sand King
425 picks · 574 bans
Dragon Knight
374 picks · 435 bans
Storm Spirit
371 picks · 621 bans
Pangolier
356 picks · 552 bans
Death Prophet
341 picks · 804 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 20%
Hero pool strength51% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total82% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:35
Nigma Galaxy SEA 82%Patriots 18%
The model gave 82% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Patriots in 29:09.
Game 2prediction missed21:5
Nigma Galaxy SEA 82%Patriots 18%
The model gave 82% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Patriots in 27:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 82%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2