Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
sQreen's Squadwin 1:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:0
ААшкудишкиloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
sQreen's Squad
Tusk
sQreen · 2 games
Axe
Wuiter · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
Wuiter · 1 game
Doom
sQreen · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Wuiter · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Copy · 1 game
Snapfire
Copy · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 1 game
Ашкудишки
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
468 picks · 652 bans
Tiny
456 picks · 486 bans
Bane
450 picks · 275 bans
Sand King
425 picks · 574 bans
Dragon Knight
374 picks · 435 bans
Storm Spirit
371 picks · 621 bans
Pangolier
356 picks · 552 bans
Death Prophet
341 picks · 804 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Ашкудишки
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% sQreen's Squad
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritesQreen's Squad · 51%
Series resultsQreen's Squad 1:0
Series predictioncorrect