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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIwin 2:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Sorryloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI

Bane
Banesignature
smN · 18 games
78%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 12 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Corrupted · 11 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Hellscream · 11 games
64%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 9 games
67%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
Munkushi~ · 9 games
89%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Hellscream · 9 games
67%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Hellscream · 8 games
75%

No Sorry

Bane
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 31 game
58%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 26 games
46%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
layme · 25 games
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
y0nd · 23 games
48%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 23 games
43%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 20 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Worick · 19 games
53%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 18 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
468 picks · 652 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
454 picks · 493 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
445 picks · 272 bans
57%
Sand King
Sand King
426 picks · 575 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
369 picks · 433 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
368 picks · 621 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
355 picks · 548 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
342 picks · 810 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 60%
Hero pool strength59% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total51% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:7
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 48%No Sorry 52%
The model gave 52% on No Sorry — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI in 35:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingMunkushi~
50% · 266 games53% · 210 games
MedusaKami
Medusa
Razor
RazorMalr1ne
49% · 219 games45% · 230 games
Ember SpiritWorick
Ember Spirit
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightCorrupted
50% · 319 games50% · 52 games
UnderlordLastHero-
Underlord
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageHellscream
47% · 135 games44% · 232 games
Hoodwinky0nd
Hoodwink
Pugna
Pugnaso bad
54% · 168 games60% · 383 games
BaneBLACKARXANGEL
Bane
Game 2prediction missed28:26
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 50%No Sorry 50%
The model gave 50% on No Sorry — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI in 43:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeMunkushi~
49% · 144 games53% · 288 games
MedusaKami
Medusa
Puck
PuckMalr1ne
49% · 173 games50% · 351 game
Storm SpiritWorick
Storm Spirit
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightCorrupted
49% · 194 games50% · 48 games
SlardarLastHero-
Slardar
Phoenix
PhoenixHellscream
47% · 87 games49% · 106 games
Skywrath Magey0nd
Skywrath Mage
Bane
Baneso bad
54% · 296 games49% · 101 game
UndyingBLACKARXANGEL
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 51%
Series resultKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2