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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eatersloss 0:2
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Mars
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
TA2000 · 6 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 5 games
40%
Mirana
Mirana
ArrOw · 5 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 5 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
25%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
75%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
33%

KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI

Bane
Banesignature
smN · 18 games
78%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 12 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Corrupted · 11 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Hellscream · 11 games
64%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 9 games
67%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
Munkushi~ · 9 games
89%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Hellscream · 9 games
67%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Hellscream · 8 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
467 picks · 651 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
457 picks · 495 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
442 picks · 272 bans
57%
Sand King
Sand King
427 picks · 572 bans
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
368 picks · 431 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
366 picks · 619 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
354 picks · 546 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
343 picks · 811 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 66%
Hero pool strength60% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total59% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Rune Eaters 41%KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 59%
The model gave 59% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI.
Game 2prediction correct
Rune Eaters 41%KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 59%
The model gave 59% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI.
Model check result
Model favoriteKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI · 59%
Series resultKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2