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CCT Season 2 Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
paiN Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 36 games
53%
Warlock
Warlock
Rein · 33 games
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
swedenstrong · 31 game
71%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 29 games
41%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Squad1x · 29 games
59%
Tusk
Tusk
swedenstrong · 29 games
59%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Rein · 26 games
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Munkushi~ · 25 games
52%

paiN Gaming

Razor
Razoroften banned
DarkMago · 5 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Scofield · 4 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Elmisho · 4 games
25%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Elmisho · 4 games
25%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Scofield · 4 games
75%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 4 games
50%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Frank · 4 games
25%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Frank · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
604 picks · 813 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
542 picks · 558 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
437 picks · 397 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
428 picks · 297 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
390 picks · 1030 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
382 picks · 671 bans
60%
Mars
Mars
371 picks · 594 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
349 picks · 519 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 38%
Hero pool strength54% 1w Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:8
1w Team 59%paiN Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 30:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinv1olent-
51% · 232 games52% · 123 games
KezWits
Kez
Tidehunter
Tidehunterмистер мораль
50% · 186 games55% · 126 games
EnigmaFrank
Enigma
Tiny
TinySquad1x
41% · 353 games41% · 327 games
Queen of PainDarkMago
Queen of Pain
Warlock
WarlockRein
49% · 368 games53% · 467 games
Shadow DemonScofield
Shadow Demon
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkswedenstrong
58% · 333 games49% · 429 games
DisruptorElmisho
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct25:21
1w Team 59%paiN Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 1:08:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
Muertav1olent-
47% · 151 game52% · 204 games
Shadow FiendWits
Shadow Fiend
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritSquad1x
49% · 271 game47% · 157 games
UnderlordFrank
Underlord
Largo
Largoмистер мораль
48% · 124 games53% · 139 games
RazorDarkMago
Razor
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightswedenstrong
46% · 99 games50% · 104 games
ClockwerkScofield
Clockwerk
Phoenix
PhoenixRein
52% · 196 games56% · 237 games
Shadow DemonElmisho
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 67%
Series result1w Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2