Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
iG Vitalitywin 2:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:1
QYQZ You Are My Heartloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
iG Vitality
Banesignature
QYQX · 8 games
Iooften banned
Dogf1ghts · 7 games
Morphlingoften banned
ukiyo · 7 games
Razoroften banned
ButterflyEffect · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 6 games
Dark Willow
QYQX · 5 games
Mirana
Dogf1ghts · 5 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Dogf1ghts · 5 games
QZ You Are My Heart
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
465 picks · 640 bans
Tiny
458 picks · 495 bans
Bane
437 picks · 267 bans
Sand King
425 picks · 561 bans
Dragon Knight
367 picks · 423 bans
Storm Spirit
363 picks · 610 bans
Pangolier
353 picks · 536 bans
Death Prophet
340 picks · 804 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% QZ You Are My Heart
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% QZ You Are My Heart
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 2prediction missed11:21
iG Vitality 41%QZ You Are My Heart 59%
The model gave 59% on QZ You Are My Heart — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 22:14.
Game 3prediction missed32:7
iG Vitality 41%QZ You Are My Heart 59%
The model gave 59% on QZ You Are My Heart — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 26:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteQZ You Are My Heart · 59%
Series resultiG Vitality 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2