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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
ghostsswin 2:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Omega Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

ghostss

No games played over 6 months.

Omega Gaming

Mars
Marssignature
Lissex · 11 games
64%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
CHAAANNN · 8 games
63%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Demon · 8 games
63%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Demon · 7 games
71%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Demon · 7 games
43%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Mingatte · 6 games
83%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Jeimari · 6 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Jeimari · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
465 picks · 640 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
458 picks · 495 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
437 picks · 266 bans
56%
Sand King
Sand King
425 picks · 561 bans
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
366 picks · 422 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
362 picks · 609 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
352 picks · 536 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
340 picks · 804 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% Omega Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Omega Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Gaming · 51%
Series resultghostss 2:0
Series predictionmissed