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BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 0:2
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team DogChampwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Bane
Banesignature
Prada · 7 games
71%
Mars
Marssignature
Mariano · 7 games
86%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
PiPi · 7 games
71%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Pamplona · 7 games
57%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 7 games
86%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
40%
Mirana
Mirana
Pamplona · 5 games
80%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
100%

Team DogChamp

Mars
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 13 games
31%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 12 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 12 games
33%
Bane
Bane
Bloody Nine · 11 games
55%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
StoneBank · 10 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
yarintheslayer · 8 games
50%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
57%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
yarintheslayer · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
464 picks · 640 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
458 picks · 494 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
436 picks · 265 bans
56%
Sand King
Sand King
424 picks · 561 bans
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
366 picks · 422 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
362 picks · 607 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
352 picks · 534 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
340 picks · 804 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 35%
Hero pool strength62% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:44
Infamous 73%Team DogChamp 27%
The model gave 73% on Infamous — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 50:13.
Game 2prediction missed32:22
Infamous 73%Team DogChamp 27%
The model gave 73% on Infamous — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 31:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 73%
Series resultTeam DogChamp 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2