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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Stratyk Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Buzz Lightyearwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Stratyk Gaming

Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Adrx · 3 games
67%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Adrx · 2 games
50%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Adrx · 2 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Adrx · 2 games
100%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
Adrx · 1 game
100%
Huskar
Huskaroften banned
Adrx · 1 game
0%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Adrx · 1 game
0%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Ezekiel · 1 game
100%

Buzz Lightyear

Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
PLOV · 2 games
50%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Steelborco · 2 games
0%
Axe
Axe
Steelborco · 1 game
100%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
PLOV · 1 game
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Steelborco · 1 game
0%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
Steelborco · 1 game
100%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
PLOV · 1 game
100%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
PLOV · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
467 picks · 642 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
464 picks · 495 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
442 picks · 267 bans
56%
Sand King
Sand King
423 picks · 554 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
360 picks · 606 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
359 picks · 420 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
352 picks · 536 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
348 picks · 810 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Stratyk Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Buzz Lightyear
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteBuzz Lightyear · 52%
Series resultBuzz Lightyear 0:2
Series predictioncorrect