Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega Gamingwin 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MMatloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Omega Gaming
Marssignature
Lissex · 11 games
Dawnbreakersignature
CHAAANNN · 8 games
Hoodwinksignature
Demon · 8 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Demon · 7 games
Skywrath Mage
Demon · 7 games
Medusasignature
Mingatte · 6 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Jeimari · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Jeimari · 5 games
Mat
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
467 picks · 642 bans
Tiny
464 picks · 495 bans
Bane
442 picks · 267 bans
Sand King
423 picks · 554 bans
Storm Spirit
360 picks · 606 bans
Dragon Knight
359 picks · 420 bans
Pangolier
352 picks · 536 bans
Death Prophet
348 picks · 810 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% Omega Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Mat
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteMat · 52%
Series resultOmega Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed