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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
ALIS VENTORUSloss 0:2
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
No Sorrywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

ALIS VENTORUS

Alchemist
Alchemist
gotthejuice · 1 game
0%
Axe
Axeoften banned
fortniteMan · 1 game
0%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Panda · 1 game
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
fortniteMan · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Panda · 1 game
0%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
gotthejuice · 1 game
0%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
gotthejuice · 1 game
0%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Panda · 1 game
0%

No Sorry

Bane
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 29 games
55%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 25 games
44%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
layme · 25 games
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
y0nd · 23 games
48%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 23 games
43%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 19 games
58%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 18 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Worick · 18 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
468 picks · 501 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
466 picks · 642 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
438 picks · 270 bans
56%
Sand King
Sand King
422 picks · 552 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
358 picks · 606 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
355 picks · 416 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
351 picks · 815 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
351 picks · 534 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength57% No Sorry
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:33
ALIS VENTORUS 38%No Sorry 62%
The model gave 62% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 22:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritPanda
44% · 388 games50% · 247 games
KunkkaKami
Kunkka
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassingotthejuice
46% · 291 game66% · 133 games
BeastmasterLastHero-
Beastmaster
Mars
MarsfortniteMan
45% · 566 games51% · 291 game
Storm SpiritWorick
Storm Spirit
54% · 379 games
BaneBLACKARXANGEL
Bane
51% · 195 games
Ioy0nd
Io
Game 2prediction correct22:55
ALIS VENTORUS 39%No Sorry 61%
The model gave 61% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 36:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey Kinggotthejuice
54% · 250 games51% · 134 games
MedusaKami
Medusa
Kunkka
KunkkaPanda
50% · 263 games47% · 201 game
Ember SpiritWorick
Ember Spirit
Sand King
Sand KingfortniteMan
51% · 256 games45% · 53 games
AxeLastHero-
Axe
41% · 77 games
Skywrath Magey0nd
Skywrath Mage
58% · 304 games
BaneBLACKARXANGEL
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 67%
Series resultNo Sorry 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2