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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTloss 0:2
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:2
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 10 games
40%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
jesv · 9 games
33%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
44%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
25%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 7 games
57%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%

KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI

Bane
Banesignature
smN · 18 games
78%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 11 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Hellscream · 10 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 9 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Corrupted · 9 games
56%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
Munkushi~ · 8 games
88%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Hellscream · 8 games
75%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Hellscream · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
467 picks · 639 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
461 picks · 499 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
439 picks · 269 bans
56%
Sand King
Sand King
420 picks · 550 bans
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
354 picks · 594 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
353 picks · 815 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
353 picks · 532 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
352 picks · 403 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)26% vs 63%
Hero pool strength62% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total76% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:41
YNT 24%KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 76%
The model gave 76% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI in 46:16.
Game 2prediction correct20:6
YNT 24%KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 76%
The model gave 76% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI in 27:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI · 76%
Series resultKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2