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BTS Pro Series Season 11. ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Patriotswin 2:0
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Patriots

Razor
Razoroften banned
dalul · 6 games
50%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Jikroy · 5 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
MamangDaya · 5 games
60%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
MamangDaya · 5 games
20%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Lym- · 3 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Lym- · 3 games
67%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Jikroy · 2 games
0%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Lym- · 2 games
0%

Motivate.Trust Gaming

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 10 games
20%
Bane
Bane
boombell · 9 games
44%
Lion
Lion
boombell · 7 games
43%
Weaver
Weaver
Q · 7 games
29%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Fearless · 6 games
33%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 6 games
50%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
JaCkky · 6 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Q · 5 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
463 picks · 626 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
462 picks · 496 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
435 picks · 269 bans
55%
Sand King
Sand King
416 picks · 541 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
353 picks · 811 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
349 picks · 581 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
348 picks · 518 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
347 picks · 387 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)17% vs 23%
Hero pool strength53% Patriots
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:22
Patriots 35%Motivate.Trust Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by Patriots in 33:58.
Game 2prediction missed34:21
Patriots 35%Motivate.Trust Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by Patriots in 32:35.
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 65%
Series resultPatriots 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2