Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Южная Америка · BO1
result vs predictionTWTeam Wankaloss 0:1
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Omega Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Wanka
No games played over 6 months.
Omega Gaming
Marssignature
Lissex · 11 games
Dawnbreakersignature
CHAAANNN · 8 games
Hoodwinksignature
Demon · 8 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Demon · 7 games
Skywrath Mage
Demon · 7 games
Medusasignature
Mingatte · 6 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Jeimari · 6 games
Mirana
Demon · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
464 picks · 621 bans
Tiny
459 picks · 498 bans
Bane
434 picks · 269 bans
Sand King
415 picks · 539 bans
Death Prophet
352 picks · 809 bans
Storm Spirit
349 picks · 578 bans
Pangolier
347 picks · 519 bans
Dragon Knight
345 picks · 384 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 36%
Hero pool strength53% Omega Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Omega Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Gaming · 60%
Series resultOmega Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect