European Pro League Season 35 · BO3
result vs prediction
LiXO eSportsloss 1:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:2
VP.Prodigywin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LiXO eSports
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
zenica · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
zenica · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
eva · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Rayx · 1 game
Jakirooften banned
Garbat1y · 1 game
Kezoften banned
eva · 1 game
Phoenix
Garbat1y · 1 game
Sniperoften banned
Rayx · 1 game
VP.Prodigy
Shadow Shamansignature
JANTER · 28 games
Ringmaster
raregods · 20 games
Sand King
Katsura · 18 games
Axeoften banned
takizawa · 15 games
Bounty Hunter
raregods · 14 games
Tinyoften banned
raregods · 14 games
Clinkzsignature
cutie · 13 games
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
592 picks · 816 bans
Tiny
530 picks · 551 bans
Tusk
428 picks · 396 bans
Warlock
427 picks · 296 bans
Shadow Demon
389 picks · 1021 bans
Ember Spirit
384 picks · 659 bans
Mars
369 picks · 585 bans
Centaur Warrunner
348 picks · 518 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 46%
Hero pool strength56% LiXO eSports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% VP.Prodigy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
LiXO eSports 37%VP.Prodigy 63%
The model gave 63% on VP.Prodigy — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy.
Game 2prediction missed
LiXO eSports 37%VP.Prodigy 63%
The model gave 63% on VP.Prodigy — the game was taken by LiXO eSports.
Game 3prediction correct
LiXO eSports 37%VP.Prodigy 63%
The model gave 63% on VP.Prodigy — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy.
Model check result
Model favoriteVP.Prodigy · 63%
Series resultVP.Prodigy 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3