Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydraloss 0:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rune Eaterswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 28 games
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 27 games
Banesignature
Muka · 24 games
Puckoften banned
Askold · 24 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 23 games
Invokersignature
Askold · 21 game
Weaver
Muka · 21 game
Chensignature
Zayac · 17 games
Rune Eaters
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
Tinysignature
TA2000 · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 5 games
Mirana
ArrOw · 5 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
473 picks · 628 bans
Tiny
453 picks · 505 bans
Bane
438 picks · 278 bans
Sand King
412 picks · 533 bans
Death Prophet
359 picks · 808 bans
Pangolier
344 picks · 520 bans
Storm Spirit
344 picks · 565 bans
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 565 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 58%
Hero pool strength55% Hydra
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total61% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct2:21
Hydra 39%Rune Eaters 61%
The model gave 61% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 19:45.
Game 2prediction correct16:48
Hydra 39%Rune Eaters 61%
The model gave 61% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 32:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 61%
Series resultRune Eaters 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2